Thoughts on AI Coding

The author argues that programming will be the first job largely replaced by AI, but that most programmers misunderstand the actual job enough that it will be hard to predict what coding becomes for those who remain. He contends that long term we need to separate intent (roughly a flowchart of what should happen) from execution, and that LLMs excel at matching error patterns to solution patterns, which is why the work looks like magic. He also warns that a large share of public LLM-coding advice reflects the speakers' desire for an audience rather than actual value, so useful signal must be sifted from hype and noise.